Zoom Video Communications Inc stock falls Tuesday, underperforms market

Also, Zoom reported 3,731 customers contributing more than $100,000 in trailing 12 months’ revenue, up 13.5% year over year. Another new development that might impact the deal is the fact that it is being reviewed by a committee chaired by Attorney General Merrick Garland. The move is designed to assess the potential for foreign participation in the U.S. telecom industry. Zoom has a research hub in China, and Five9 has operations in Russia. For its part, Five9 has posted sales of about $500 million over the last 12 months. The competition is made up of entrenched incumbents and innovative newcomers.

In the previous year, the company won Glassdoor’s #1 CEO of large company award with a CEO rating approval of 98 percent. The company’s current Glassdoor employer rating score displays 4.8 out of 5.0 maximum possible points. Get stock recommendations, https://bigbostrade.com/ portfolio guidance, and more from The Motley Fool’s premium services. A breakout from a third, fourth or fifth-stage base that fails fast typically means sellers have the upper hand and the supply of available shares is thick.

As a result of these dynamics, the global videoconferencing market, from a stable level in 2023, is expected to grow at a CAGR of low-double digits. Looking at the projections of multiple market research agencies, a CAGR of around the 11% mark seems highly likely. While the overall videoconferencing market is projected to experience low-double-digit growth, Zoom’s market share, sitting at an impressive 55%, appears increasingly vulnerable.

Zoom software gets high ratings for ease of use and simplicity following earlier video services that provided jerky images and out-of-sync audio. In the business market, Zoom rivals include RingCentral (RNG), Cisco Systems (CSCO), Google and others. Growth in annual recurring revenue for business customers with contracts topping $100,000 is one metric to monitor. As the coronavirus crisis eases, retaining small businesses as well as corporate accounts will be one key to Zoom’s success.

  1. ZM is trading at a $90 billion market cap, so that cash balance may not do much in terms of providing a valuation floor, but it helps de-risk the company in the unlikely event that cash flows turn negative.
  2. The company aims to leverage AI technologies for optimization and improvements in user experience but recognizes the ongoing need for investment in this domain.
  3. According to Glassdoor, an employer evaluation portal, Zoom Video Communications was placed #2 in Glassdoor’s Best Place to Work in the large company category in 2019.
  4. Where possible we use analyst estimates, but when these aren’t available we extrapolate the previous free cash flow (FCF) from the last estimate or reported value.

Paid Zoom business plans cost $15 or $20 per employee and require minimums of 10 or 50 seats. Zoom Video aims to be a player in the contact center what is securities trading market with its own products and services. In May, Zoom announced an investment in AI startup Anthropic to support research roadmaps.

Nevertheless, Zoom reported a 5% growth in Enterprise customers in Q3. Enterprise now accounted for 58% of revenue, up from 56% in the same quarter last year. Still, Zoom continues to face a slowdown in the underlying industry, mainly driven by a slowdown in growth in the enterprise segment, which was up just 8% in Q3, down from 24% growth in fiscal FY23. This reflects the depressed IT spending we currently see among enterprises and does not surprise me. This was further highlighted by a weakening net retention rate, which came in at 105% in Q3, down from a 115% level in fiscal FY23, reflecting a lower demand environment. These new integrations are crucial for Zoom as these next-generation technologies are crucial in winning over customers and maintaining them.

Tried And True Sell Rules

These don’t appear to be overly pessimistic assumptions either – 11.4x sales versus a 19% growth rate appears reasonable, if not still rather optimistic. I note that my 40% margin assumption would be much higher than the consensus estimate for 30% projected net margins in 2027. On the earnings front, Wall Street analysts are forecasting an average annualized growth of 28% over the next five years up to an earnings per share of $6.21 per share in fiscal year 2026.

Best workplace among large companies

The company launched its IPO on April 18, 2019, raising almost $357 million in the process. Its share price also saw a huge jump of 72% on the first day of trading. As of February 2, 2021, Zoom stock is more than ten times higher.

Why Zoom Video Communications (ZM) Outpaced the Stock Market Today

Zoom Video recently backed off from a change in its terms of service for platform users that would have enabled it to gather data to train AI models. Zoom Video reported third quarter earnings that topped estimates but offered mixed guidance for the current period. Zoom Video Communications Inc. (ZM) offers a video-first communications platform used by millions of people worldwide for both business and personal use. The platform connects people via video, phone, chat, and content sharing and can be integrated across a broad range of devices. At CAPEX.com, you can follow the live chart to trade on the price movements of this popular stock through CFDs.

The company currently has a little over 1,200 employees and operates 3 geographical segments. The San Jose, Calif.-based company earned an adjusted $1.29 a share on sales of $1.14 billion in the quarter ended Oct. 31. Analysts polled by FactSet had expected Zoom earnings of $1.09 a share on sales of $1.12 billion. On a year-over-year basis, Zoom earnings rose 21% while sales increased just 3%. The risk/reward profile remains unfavorable for investors, especially as interest rates remain high. At the current time, I believe there are much better opportunities available on the market, and I expect Zoom to keep underperforming over the next 12 months.

I expect ZM to experience material operating leverage – my long-term net margin assumption is 45%. This is due in part to the high current 28% net margin rate, as well as my skepticism that research & development expenses will scale that rapidly for a video conferencing company. Consensus estimates appear reasonable, if not somewhat optimistic.

The Internet – Software industry is part of the Computer and Technology sector. Currently, this industry holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 59, positioning it in the top 24% of all 250+ industries. Despite the stock’s decline from its peak, I maintain a neutral stance, emphasizing that a stock’s decrease in value doesn’t necessarily equate to undervaluation. In my assessment of Zoom Video Communications, it’s evident that the company has fallen out of favor with investors.

That said, posting growth will be a lot harder now that Zoom is lapping the pandemic-fueled 2020. In the second quarter of last year, Zoom saw sales climb more than 350% and customers with more than 10 users jump over 450%. Management pledged a 90-day moratorium on feature development and dedicated all of its time to security and privacy.